Research

LCERPA members offer expertise in a wide range of fields. On this page we provide information on our members' recent research and publications, including papers published as part of the LCERPA Working Paper Series.

Earlier years' publications and working papers (under construction):   2014   2013   2012   2011   2010   2009   2008

Published and forthcoming journal articles

Ariizumi, H., Y. Hu, and T. Schirle. 2015. "Stand together or alone? Family structure and the business cycle in Canada. Review of Economics of the Household, Vol. 13, Issue 1 (March), 135-161.

Boeringer, C., N. Rivers, T. Rutherford, and R. Wigle. Forthcoming. "Sharing the burden for climate change mitigation in the Canadian federation." Canadian Journal of Economics.

Feldman, N.E. and B.J. Ruffle. 2015. The Impact of Including, Adding and Subtracting a Tax on Demand. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 7(1): 95-118.

McCaig, B. and N. Pavcnik. Forthcoming. "Informal employment in a growing and globalizing low-income country," American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings.

McLeod, L. Forthcoming. "The association between physician supply and the mix of generalist and specialist services used." Contemporary Economic Policy.

Neill, C. 2015 Rising student employment: the role of tuition fees. Education Economics, 23(1&2): 101-121.

Ruffle, B. J. and Z. Shtudiner. Forthcoming "Are Good-Looking People more Employable?" Management Science, (published online May 29, 2014).

Schirle, T. 2015. The effect of universal child benefits on labour supply. Canadian Journal of Economics, 48(2), May 2015.

Shiamptanis, C. Forthcoming. Risk assessment under a nonlinear fiscal policy rule. Economic Inquiry, DOI: 10.1111/ecin.12199.

Published and forthcoming book chapters, books, and other publications

Milligan, K. and T. Schirle. Forthcoming. Option Value of Disability Insurance in Canada Social Security Programs and Retirement Around the World: Disability Insurance Programs and Retirement. NBER Book Series. University of Chicago Press.

LCERPA Working Papers - 2015

Claus, E., and M. Dungey. Can monetary policy surprise the market? LCERPA Working Paper No. 2015-2, January 2015. (This paper has also been published in the CAMA's working paper series.)

Abstract. This paper extracts measures of monetary policy surprises for Australia, Canada and the United States using a latent factor framework. We distinguish monetary policy surprises which occur when central banks report new assessments of the economy (or do not reinforce changes expected by market assessments) from those when policy makers appear to change their preferences. Changing policy preferences are evident in all jurisdictions, particularly during periods of stress. No-change policy announcements have distinctly differing impacts across the three countries; in Canada these have the same impact as policy changes, in Australia they are not discernibly different to a normal trading day and the US market lies between these scenarios. The revealed differences in size and type of the policy surprise outcomes for these operationally similar central banks suggests that the role of transparency policy is more subtle than previously appreciated.

Boeringer, C., N. Rivers, T. Rutherford, and R. Wigle. "Sharing the burden for climate change mitigation in the Canadian federation." LCERPA Working Paper No. 2015-1, January 2015 (posted with SSRN by ZenTra Centre for Transnational Studies in 2014).
This paper has been accepted for publication in the Canadian Journal of Economics.

Abstract. Dividing the burden for greenhouse gas abatement amongst the provinces has proven challenging in Canada, and is a major factor contributing to Canada’s poor historic performance on greenhouse gas abatement. As the country aims to achieve substantial cuts to emissions over the next decade and by mid-century, such burden sharing considerations are likely to be elevated in importance. This paper uses a detailed Canadian computable general equilibrium model to compare a number of archetypal rules for sharing the burden of a joint commitment amongst members for the case of greenhouse gas reductions in Canada. Because of the substantial heterogeneity amongst Canadian provinces, these different burden sharing rules imply significantly different relative abatement effort amongst provinces, and also significantly different welfare implications. We compare these archetypal burden sharing rules to existing provincial emission reduction commitments, and find that none of the standard burden sharing rules comes close to existing commitments. We argue that future efforts to share the burden of greenhouse gas abatement in Canada would be more successful if they were informed by a formal analysis such as the one presented here.

LCERPA Commentaries and Other Analysis

Coming soon!